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dc.contributor.authorMasike, Sennye
dc.contributor.authorUrich, Peter
dc.date.accessioned2008-09-10T02:03:12Z
dc.date.available2008-09-10T02:03:12Z
dc.date.issued2008-03
dc.identifier.citationMasike, S. & Urich, P. (2008). Vulnerability of traditional beef sector to drought and the challenges of climate change: The case of Kgatleng District, Botswana. Journal of Geography and Regional Planning, 1(1), 12–18.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10289/973
dc.description.abstractCattle’s rearing in Botswana is undertaken in two sectors: the communal and commercial. The communal sector is exclusively free range and therefore depends on biomass production. This makes the systems highly susceptible to drought. One strategy that has been devised by farmers to adapt to drought has been to overstock. However, this strategy may not be the best adaptation strategy as it leads to overgrazing and quick depletion of scarce biomass during the drought years. Climate change may increase the vulnerability of the communal cattle sector in the country mostly through changes and variability of rainfall. In the article, we determine the reliability of the rainfall in the Khurutshe area, Botswana. Vulnerability of the cattle sector to system severe failure is also determined. Lastly, the effects of climate change on return period of drought are investigated. Results indicate that the reliability index of rainfall in the Kgatleng District is 0.5. The vulnerability index of the cattle is estimated at 8000 per year. Lastly, using SimCLIM computer model climate change will shorten the return period of mild drought from 2 years to 1.6 years by 2050. These findings have serious implications on the recovery period of the cattle to withstand the next drought period.en_US
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherAcademic Journalsen_NZ
dc.relation.urihttp://www.academicjournals.org/JGRP/en_US
dc.rightsThis article is published in the Journal of Geography and Regional Planning. © 2008 Academic Journalsen_US
dc.subjectcattle sectoren_US
dc.subjectclimate changeen_US
dc.subjectclimate scenariosen_US
dc.subjectdroughten_US
dc.subjectreliabilityen_US
dc.subjectreturn perioden_US
dc.subjectvulnerability indexen_US
dc.subjectadaptation measuresen_US
dc.titleVulnerability of traditional beef sector to drought and the challenges of climate change: The case of Kgatleng District, Botswanaen_US
dc.typeJournal Articleen_US
dc.relation.isPartOfJournal of Geography and Regional Planningen_NZ
pubs.begin-page12en_NZ
pubs.elements-id32844
pubs.end-page18en_NZ
pubs.issue1en_NZ
pubs.volume1en_NZ


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