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Spatio-temporal modelling of crime using low discrepancy sequences

Abstract
We perform spatio-temporal modelling of burglary data in order to predict areas of high criminal risk for local authorities. We wish to account for several spatio-temporal factors as latent processes to make the model as realistic as possible, thus creating a model with a large latent eld with several hyperparameters. Analysis of the model is done using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA) (Rue et al. 2009), a fast Bayesian inference methodology that provides more computationally efficient estimations than Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods.
Type
Conference Contribution
Type of thesis
Series
Citation
Brown, P. T., Joshi, C., Joe, S., & McCarter, N. (2016). Spatio-temporal modelling of crime using low discrepancy sequences. In Proceedings of the 31st International Workshop on Statistical Modelling Volume II, 4–8 July 2016, Rennes, France.
Date
2016
Publisher
Degree
Supervisors
Rights
This paper was published as a part of the proceedings of the 31st International Workshop on Statistical Modelling, INSA Rennes, 4–8 July 2016. The copyright remains with the author(s).