Research Commons
      • Browse 
        • Communities & Collections
        • Titles
        • Authors
        • By Issue Date
        • Subjects
        • Types
        • Series
      • Help 
        • About
        • Collection Policy
        • OA Mandate Guidelines
        • Guidelines FAQ
        • Contact Us
      • My Account 
        • Sign In
        • Register
      View Item 
      •   Research Commons
      • University of Waikato Research
      • Arts and Social Sciences
      • National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA)
      • NIDEA Working Papers
      • View Item
      •   Research Commons
      • University of Waikato Research
      • Arts and Social Sciences
      • National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA)
      • NIDEA Working Papers
      • View Item
      JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

      The demographic forces shaping New Zealand’s future. What population ageing [really] means

      Jackson, Natalie
      Thumbnail
      Files
      NIDEA Working Paper No 1.pdf
      913.0Kb
      Link
       www.waikato.ac.nz
      Find in your library  
      Citation
      Export citation
      Jackson, N. (2011). The demographic forces shaping New Zealand’s future. What population ageing [really] means. (NIDEA Working Papers No 1). Hamilton, New Zealand: National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of Waikato.
      Permanent Research Commons link: https://hdl.handle.net/10289/6539
      Abstract
      This paper outlines the key demographic forces shaping New Zealand’s future. It ranges broadly across birth rates, life expectancy and migration to show how this converging demography will result in a regionally-disparate future. It identifies a migration-driven bite in New Zealand’s age structure across the young adult ages that is pronounced in non-urban areas, and argues that while rural regions have long lost young adults and sun-belt regions gained older, what differs is that this phenomenon is now occurring alongside population ageing, rendering such age structures no longer conducive to growth. The converging trends will not only make responding to baby boomer retirement more difficult but will increase competition for workers and push up labour and consumption costs. With the exception of larger urban areas and some retirement zones, it shows that sub national growth in much of New Zealand has already ended and that this scenario will continue to unfold until zero growth or population decline embraces all but the major urban areas. This is despite a national growth rate which is currently near equal the annual global growth rate. The paper posits that it is time to re-evaluate the question ‘when does population growth ‘end’?’
      Date
      2011-05
      Type
      Working Paper
      Series
      NIDEA Working Papers
      Report No.
      No 1
      Publisher
      National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA)
      Rights
      © National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis
      Collections
      • NIDEA Working Papers [5]
      Show full item record  

      Usage

      Downloads, last 12 months
      171
       
       

      Usage Statistics

      For this itemFor all of Research Commons

      The University of Waikato - Te Whare Wānanga o WaikatoFeedback and RequestsCopyright and Legal Statement